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Storm - USA
Late Winter Storm - USA
Flood - Argentina
Earthquake - Turkey
Tornado - USA
Flood - China
Other events
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Catastrophe Report 3
January 1 – July 8, 2003 - Bill McGuire |


North-east US snow cover. March 3rd 2003. (Courtesy NASA).
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Following six months of quiet, the first half of 2003 experienced
a reawakening of geological activity. A moderate earthquake
in China killed 268 in February and another in Turkey took around
180 lives at the start of May. Just three weeks later, the year's
most lethal natural catastrophe so far took over 2,200 lives,
injured more than 10,000 and left 150,000 homeless as another
quake struck Algeria close to the capital Algiers. Economic
and insured losses over the period were once again dominated
by weather-related events and especially by winter storms in
the United States. A major loss was also triggered, however,
by severe floods in Argentina, which are estimated to have cost
the economy in excess of one billion US$. Floods also proved
to be ubiquitous in the developing world, causing serious problems
in particular in Azerbaijan, the Horn of Africa, Indonesia,
Peru and Sri Lanka. At the time of writing, flooding on a gigantic
scale is also inundating eastern China, with over 45 million
people affected and initial estimates of economic looses approaching
one billion US$. With further torrential rains on the way, this
is a figure that is likely to rise significantly. Destructive
tropical cyclones struck Fiji, New Caledonia, Indonesia, India,
Madagascar and the Philippines, although death tolls were low.
Following the Algerian quake, the most lethal event was a heat
wave that affected much of India during May and early June,
to which are attributed over 1,200 deaths. While catastrophe-related
economic and insured losses in Europe were minimal, first quarter
insured losses in the United States are estimated at 1.46 billion
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| US$, compared to 615 million US$ for the
same period in 2002. Losses are attributed to five events affecting
half the states in the Union. Three of these were severe winter storms
that blanketed fifteen states causing an estimated 1.1 billion US$
in insured property damage, while the balance of first-quarter losses
resulted from two wind/windstorm events. US Second-quarter insured
losses will be dominated by the results of the battering received
by the tornado-alley states during early May, for which total claims
are expected to range from 1.55 to 2.2 billion US$, the largest tornado
loss on record. This report was first published in Catastrophe
Risk Management in August 2003.
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