1. Abrahamson, N. A. & Bommer, J. J. 2005 Probability and uncertainty in seismic hazard analysis. Earthquake Spectra 21, 603-607.

2. Barnett, T. P., Pierce, D. W. (and five other authors) 2005 Penetration of human-induced warming into the world’s oceans. Science 309, 284-287.

3. Beniston, M. & Stephenson, D. B. (eds) 2004 Extreme climatic events. Global and Planetary Change 44, 211pp.

4. Betts, N. L. et al. 2004. Storminess and surges in the South-western Approaches of the eastern North Atlantic: the synoptic climatology of recent extreme coastal storms. Marine Geology 210, 227-246.

5. Bird, J. F., Bommer, J. J., Bray, J. D., Sancio, R. and Spence, R. J. S. 2004 Comparing loss estimation with observed damage in a zone of ground failure: a study of the 1999 Kocaeli Earthquake in Turkey. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering 2, 329-360.

6. Blackmore, P. and Tsokri, E. 2004. Windstorm damage to buildings and structures in the UK during 2002. Weather, 59, no. 12, 336-339.

7. Blake, Eric S., Gray, William M. 2004. Prediction of August Atlantic Basin Hurricane Activity. Weather and Forecasting 19: 1044-1060

8. Bryant, E. A. & Haslett, S. K. 2002 Was the AD 1607 coastal flooding event in the Severn Estuary and Bristol Channel (UK) due to a tsunami. Archaeology in the Severn Estuary 13, 163-167.

9. Burton, P. W., Xu, Y., Qin, C., Tselentis, G-Akis. and Sokos, E. 2004 A catalogue of seismicity in Greece and the adjacent areas for the twentieth century. Tectonophysics 390, 117-127.

10. Calenda, G., Mancini, C. P. and Volpi, E. 2005 Distribution of the extreme peak floods of the Tiber river from the XV century. Advances in Water Resources 28, 615-625.

11. Chen, H. & Lee, C. F. 2004 Geohazards of slope mass movement and its prevention in Hong Kong. Engineering Geology 76, 3-25.

12. Crowley, H., Pinho, R. and Bommer, J. J. 2004 A probability displacement-based vulnerability assessment procedure for earthquake loss estimation. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering 2, 173-219.

13. Dawson, A., Elliott, L. (and five other authors) 2004 Historical storminess and climate ‘sea-saws’ in the North Atlantic region. Marine Geology 210, 247-259.

14. DEFRA 2005 Making space for water: developing a new government strategy for flood and coastal erosion risk management in England. Documents accessible at:
http://www.defra.gov.uk/corporate/consult/waterspace/index.htm

15. Donnelly, J. P., and T. Webb III. 2004 Back-barrier sedimentary records of intense hurricane landfalls in the northeastern United States. In: Hurricanes and Typhoons: Past Present and Future (Murnane, R. and Liu, K. B. eds). Columbia University Press. New York, 58-95.

16. EERI 2005 The Great Sumatra Earthquake and Indian Ocean Tsunami of December 26th, 2004 EERI Newsletter. March. 8pp.
Accessible at: http://www.eeri.org/cds_publications/newsletter.html

17. Ekström, M., Fowler, H. J., Kilsby, C. G. and Jones, P. D. 2005 New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 2. Future estimates and use in impact studies. Journal of Hydrology 300, 234-251.

18. Erdik, M., Demircioglu, M., Sesetyan, K., Durukal, E. and Siyahi, B. 2004 Earthquake hazard in Marmara region, Turkey. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 24, 605-631.

19. Fine, I. V., Rabinovich, A. B., Bornhold, B. D., Thomson, R. E. and Kulikov, E. A. 2005 The Grand Banks landslide-generated tsunami of November 18, 1929: preliminary analysis and numerical modeling. Marine Geology 215, 45-57.

20. Giardini, D., Wiemer, S., Fäh, D., Deichmann, N. and many others. 2004 Seismic hazard assessment of Switzerland 2004. Swiss Seismological Service. Zurich. 77pp plus appendices.

21. Giles, J. 2005 We’ll rain on your parade, forecasters tell rogue pundits. Nature 435, 396-7.

22. Gerstenberger, M. C., Wiemer, S., Jones, L. M. and Reasenberg, P. A. 2005 Real-time forecasts of tomorrow’s earthquakes in California. Nature 435, 328-331.

23. Grindlay, N., Hearne, M. and Mann, P. 2005 High risk of tsunami in the northern Caribbean. Eos 86, 121, 126

24. Gusiakov, V. K. 2005 Tsunami generation potential of different tsunamigenic regions in the Pacific. Marine Geology 215, 3-9.

25. Hadley Centre. 2004 Uncertainty, risk and dangerous climate change. UK Met office. DEFRA, 16pp.

26. Hadley Centre. 2005 Stabilising climate to avoid dangerous climate change. UK Met Office. DEFRA, 19pp.

27. Holschneider, M., Teramo, A., Bottari, A. and Termini, D. 2004 On the relevance of the spatial distribution of events for seismic hazard evaluation. Natural Hazards 31, 1-19.

28. Hsu, S-K and Sibuet, J-C. 2005 Earthquake off Japan could generate strong tsunami. Eos 86, 169-170.

29. Huhnerbach, V., Masson, D. G. and partners of the COSTA Project. 2004 Landslides in the North Atlantic and its adjacent seas: an analysis of their morphology, setting and behaviour. Marine Geology 213, 343-362.

30. Hurst, T. & Smith, W. 2004 A Monte Carlo method for modelling ashfall hazards. Journal of Volcanology & Geothermal Research 138, 393-403.

31. Keating, B. H. & McGuire, W. J. 2004 Instability and structural failure at volcanic ocean islands and the climate change dimension. Advances in Geophysics 47, 175-271.

32. Keilis-Borok, V. et al. 2004 Reverse detection of short-term earthquake precursors.http://arxiv.org/ftp/physics/papers/0312/0312088.pdf

33. Keim, B. D., Muller, R. A. and Stone, G. W. 2004 Spatial and temporal variability of coastal storms in the North Atlantic Basin. Marine Geology 210, 7 – 15.

34. Kelman, I. & Spence, R. 2004 An overview of flood actions on buildings. Engineering Geology 73, 297-309.

35. Klügel, J-U. 2005 Problems in the application of the SSHAC probability method for assessing earthquake hazards at Swiss nuclear power plants. Engineering Geology 78, 285-307.

36. Leckebusch, G. C. & Ulbrich, U. 2004 On the relationship between cyclones and extreme windstorm events over Europe under climate change. Global and Planetary Change 44, 181-193.

37. Liu, K.B. 2004 Paleotempestology: Principles, Methods, and Examples from Gulf Coast Lake Sediments. In: Hurricanes and typhoons: past, present and future. (Murnane, R. and Liu, K. B. eds). Columbia University Press. New York, 13-57.

38. Lozano, I., Devoy, R. J.N., May, W. and Anderson, U. 2004 Storminess and vulnerability along the Atlantic coastlines of Europe: analysis of storm records and of a greenhouse gases induced climate scenario. Marine Geology 210, 205 – 225.

39. Luterbacher, J., Dietrich, D., Xoplaki, E., Grosjean, M. and Wanner, H. 2004 European seasonal and annual temperature variability trends and extremes since 1500. Science 303, 1499-1503.

40. Magill, C. & Blong, R. 2005 Volcanic risk ranking for Auckland, New Zealand I: methodology and hazard investigation. Bulletin of Volcanology 67, 331-339.

41. Magill, C. & Blong, R. 2005 Volcanic risk ranking for Auckland, New Zealand II: hazard consequences and risk calculation. Bulletin of Volcanology 67, 340-349.

42. Manen, S. E. van. & Brinkhuis, M. 2005 Quantitative flood risk assessment for polders. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 90, 229-237.

43. McCloskey, J., Nalbant, S. S. and Steacy, S. 2005 Earthquake risk from co-seismic stress. Nature 434, 291.

44. Merz, B. & Thieken, A. H. 2005 Separating natural and epistemic uncertainty in flood frequency analysis. Journal of Hydrology 309, 114-132.

45. Murname, R. & Liu, K. B. (eds) 2004 Hurricanes and typhoons: past, present and future. Colombia University Press. New York. 464pp.

46. Nalbant, S. S., Steacy, S., Sieh, K., Natawidjaja, D. and McCloskey, J. 2005 Earthquake risk on the Sunda Trench. Nature 435, 756-7.

47. Osborn, T. J. and Briffa, K.R. 2004 The real colour of climate change. Science 306, 621-622.

48. Palmer, T. 2004. DEMETER (Development of a Multi-model Ensemble System for Seasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction). Tellus A 57 (3), 217-218.

49. Porter, K. A., Beck, J. L. and Skaikhutdinov, R. 2004a Simplified estimation of economic risk for buildings. Earthquake Spectra 20, 1239-1236.

50. Porter, K. A., Beck, J. L. and eight others. 2004b Effect of seismic risk on lifetime property value. Earthquake Spectra 20, 1211-1237.

51. Pottier, N., Penning-Rowsell, E., Tunstall, S. and Hubert, G. 2005 Land use and flood protection: contrasting approaches and outcomes in France and in England and Wales. Applied Geography 25, 1-27.

52. Retallack, S. 2005 Setting a long-term climate objective. Institute for Public Policy Research, London.

53. Rezacova, D., Pesice, P. and Sokol, Z. 2005 An estimation of the probable maximum precipitation for river basins in the Czech Republic. Atmospheric Research. Published in advance online: doi (digital object identifier) 10.1016/j.atmosres.2004.10.011

54. Rowe, C., Christensen, D. and Carver, G (eds). 2004 The 2002 Denali Fault earthquake sequence. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 94 (6b). 450pp (27 papers)

55. Saunders, M.A. and Lea, A. S. 2005. Seasonal prediction of hurricane activity reaching the coast of the United States. Nature 434, 1005-1008.

56. Sidle, R. C., Kamai, T. and Trandafir, A. C. 2005. Evaluating landslide damage during the 2004 Chuetsu earthquake, Niigata, Japan. Eos 86, 133, 136.

57. Stainforth, D. A., Aina, T. (and 14 other authors) 2005 Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases. Nature 433, 403-406.

58. Stone, G. W. & Orford, J. D (eds). 2004. Storms and their significance in coastal morpho-dynamics. Marine Geology 210 (Issues 1 to 4), 1-368.

59. Storch, H. von., Zorita, E. (and four other authors) 2004 Reconstructing past climate from noisy data. Science 306, 679-682.

60. Stott, P. A., Stone, D. A. and Allen, M.R. 2004 Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003. Nature 432, 610-614.

61. Thomas, R., Rignot, E. (and 16 other authors) 2004 Accelerated sea-level rise from West Antarctica. Science 306, 255-258.

62. Trenberth, K. 2005. Uncertainty in hurricanes and global warming. Science 308, 1753-54.

63. Tu, M., Hall, M. J., de Laat, P. J. M. and de Wit, M. J. M. 2005 Extreme floods in the Meuse river over the past century : aggravated by land-use changes ? Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 30, 267-276.

64. Wesson, R. L., Perkins, D. M., Leyendecker, E. V., Roth, R. J. and Petersen, M. D. 2004 Losses to single-family housing from ground motions in the 1994 Northridge, California, earthquake. Earthquake Spectra 20, 1021-1045.

Acknowledgements

The following are gratefully acknowledged for suggesting or highlighting papers considered worthy of mention in HRSR2005, and/or for providing invaluable short summaries of new research in their specialist fields: Julian Bommer (Imperial College), Paul Burton (University of East Anglia), Simon Day (University of California, Santa Cruz), Ben Lloyd-Hughes (UCL), Chris Kilburn (UCL), Ziggy Lubkowski (Arup), Ruth McDonald (UK Met Office), Tim Osborn (University of East Anglia), Mark Saunders (UCL), Iain Stewart (University of Plymouth), Rob Wilby (Environment Agency).

«back to top«