| In
any single year, thousands of scientific papers addressing natural
hazards, the processes and mechanisms that drive them, and their
impacts and ramifications, are published in hundreds of journals
and e-journals. Many of these papers contain information that is
of direct relevance and considerable importance to the re/insurance
market, but which can take several years to filter down from academia
to the business world.
The Hazard and Risk Science Review is designed to accelerate
this process by drawing attention to new and pertinent research
results. We present a summary of key publications from 2006 - 2007
with the aim of introducing the reader to current themes in a number
of research domains. The summary text is intended to provide an
introduction to the original work and its authors, by setting the
science in a broader context and showing, where appropriate, its
potential relevance to our business. Inevitably the new research
addressed in the 2007 issue is only a tiny sample of the enormous
amount of relevant material published over the last 12 months, and
we do not claim that it is entirely representative of published
research over the period. It does, however, highlight studies identified
by Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre (BUHRC) researchers and consultants
that are considered to be particularly relevant to the interests
of those involved in catastrophe insurance and reinsurance. The
success of the review, launched in September 2004 at the Monte Carlo
reinsurance rendezvous, is reflected in the 11,000 copies of the
first three issues distributed throughout the market. We confidently
expect this fourth Hazard and Risk Science Review to achieve
an even wider circulation and further augment its function as a
valuable resource to the market, through providing a conduit from
the arena of academic research to the business world. The Hazard
and Risk Science Review is published annually in September,
and incorporates research published during the twelve months to
the preceding July.
This year’s review continues to adopt the straightforward fourfold
structure developed in the launch issue in 2004, centring on atmospheric,
geological and hydrological hazards, and on climate change and its
hazard implications. Following publication of both the Stern Review
on the economics of climate change87, and the IPCC’s (Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change) latest series of studies37, we
lead this year with a summary of climate change research, focusing
particularly on the consequences for natural hazards and potential
ramifications for the insurance sector. Despite the unsettling quiet
on the Atlantic hurricane front, the debate linking tropical cyclone
activity and climate change continues to be lively, and its latest
instalment forms the core of the Atmospheric Hazards section. As usual,
the review concludes with a comprehensive bibliography of sources
and further reading, providing a resource for the reader who wishes
to pursue follow-up investigations. For ease of use, themes covered
within are highlighted at the beginning of each section of the review,
with numbered links to the relevant publications in the bibliography.
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