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CONTENTS

Foreword

Author's Note

Executive Summary

Introduction

• Climate Change

• Atmospheric
  Hazards

• Geological Hazards

• Hydrological
  Hazards

Sources & Further Reading
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Hazard & Risk Science Review 2007
7.Sources and Further Reading
  1. Aberson, S. D. 2006 Thirty years of tropical cyclone research with the NOAA P-3 aircraft. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 87, 1039 – 1055.


  2. Bengtsson, L. et al. 2006 Storm tracks and climate change. Journal of Climate 19, 3518 – 3543.


  3. Bellucci, F. et al. 2006 Ground deformation at Campi Flegrei, Italy: implications for hazard assessment. Geological Society Special Publication 269, 141-157.


  4. Bertagnini, A. et al. 2006 Eruption early warning at Vesuvius: the AD1631 lesson. Geophysical Research Letters 33, doi:10.1029/2006GL027297.


  5. Bommer, J. J. & Abrahamson, N. A. 2006 Why do probabilistic seismic-hazard analyses often lead to increased hazard estimates. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 96, 1967 – 1977.


  6. Brαzdil, R. et al. Historical hydrology for studying flood risk in Europe. Hydrological Sciences Journal 5, 739 – 764.


  7. Bryant, E. & Haslett, S. 2007 Catastrophic wave erosion, Bristol Channel, United Kingdom: impact of tsunami? Journal of Geology 118, 253-269.


  8. Bryden, H. L., Longworth, H. R. and Cunningham, S. A. 2005 Slowing of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 25Ί C N. Nature 438, 655-57.


  9. Buchele, B. et al. 2006 Flood-risk mapping: contributions towards an enhanced assessment of extreme events and associated risks. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 6, 485 – 503.


  10. Calais, E. et al. 2006 Deformation of the North American Plate interior from a decade of continuous GPS measurements. Journal of Geophysical Research 111, doi:10.1029/2005JB004253.


  11. Cao, T. O. & Petersen, M. D. 2006 Uncertainty of earthquake losses due to model uncertainty of input ground motions in the Los Angeles area. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 96, 365 – 376.


  12. Chen, J. L. et al. 2006 Satellite gravity measurements confirm accelerated melting of Greenland Ice Sheet. Science 313, 1958 – 1960.


  13. Coombs, M. L. et al. 2007 Massive edifice failure at Aleutian arc volcanoes. Earth & Planetary Science Letters 256, 403 – 418.


  14. Cherniawsky, J. Y. et al. 2007 Numerical simulations of tsunami waves and currents for southern Vancouver Island from a Cascadia megathrust earthquake. Pure and Applied Geophysics 164, 465 – 492.


  15. Curry, J. A. et al. 2006: Mixing politics and science in testing the hypothesis that greenhouse warming Is causing a global increase in hurricane Intensity. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 87, 1025 – 1037.


  16. Dawson, A. et al. 2006 A late Holocene tsunami at Basta Voe, Yell, Shetland Isles. Scottish Geographical Journal 122, 100 – 108.


  17. Dominey-Howes, D. 2007 Geological and historical records of tsunami in Australia. Marine Geology 239, 99 -123.


  18. Donnelly, J. P. & Woodruff, J. D. 2007 Intense hurricane activity over th past 5,000 years controlled by El Niρo and the West African Monsoon. Nature 447, 465 – 468.


  19. Dupois, D. J. & Flemming, J. M. 2006 Modelling peak accelerations from earthquakes. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics 35, 101 – 128.


  20. Elsner, J. B. 2006 Evidence in support of the climate change – Atlantic hurricane hypothesis. Geophysical Research Letters 33. Article number L16705, August 23rd.


  21. Emanuel, K. 2006 Climate and tropical cyclone activity: a new model downscaling approach. Journal of Climate 19, 4797 – 4802.


  22. Eyles, N. 2006 The role of meltwater in glacial processes. Sedimentary Geology 190, 257 – 268.


  23. Falsaperla, S. et al. 2006 Multidisciplinary study of flank instability phenomena at Stromboli volcano. Geophysical Research Letters 33. Article number L09304.,


  24. Geist, E. L. et al. 2006 Implications of the 26 December 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake on tsunami forecast and assessment models for great subduction-zone earthquakes. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 97, 249–270.


  25. Graybeal, D. Y. 2006 Realtionships among daily mean and maximum wind speeds, with application to data quality assurance. International Journal of Climatology 29, 29 – 43.


  26. Graziani, L. 2006 A revision of the 1783 – 1784 Calabrian (southern Italy) tsunamis. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 6, 1053 – 1060.


  27. Greene, H. G. et al. 2006 Submarine landslides in the Santa Barbara Channel as potential tsunami sources. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 6, 63 – 88.


  28. Griffiths, J. H. P. et al. 2007 Istanbul at the threshold: an evaluation of the seismic risk in Istanbul. Earthquake Spectra 23, 63 – 75.


  29. Guganesharajah, K. et al. 2006 Influence of uncertainties in the estimation procedure of floodwater level. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering 132, 1052 – 1060.


  30. Hall, J. W. et al. Impacts of climate change on coastal flood risk in England and Wales: 2030 – 2100. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 364, 1027 – 1049.


  31. Hansen, J. et al. 2007 Climate change and trace gases. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 265, 1925 – 1954.


  32. Harris, R. A. et al. 2006 Introduction to the Special Issue on the 2004 Parkfield earthquake and the Parkfield Earthquake Prediction Experiment. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 96, 1 – 10.


  33. Hasancebi, N. & Ulusay, R. 2006 Evaluation of site amplification and site period using different methods for an earthquake-prone settlement in western Turkey. Engineering Geology 87, 85 – 104.


  34. Heneka, P. et al.. 2006 Winter storm risk of residential structures-model development and application to the German state of Baden-Wurttemberg. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 6, 721 – 733.


  35. Holland, G. J. & Webster, P.J. 2007 Heightened tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic: natural variability or climate trend. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A. doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2083


  36. Houghton, B. et al. 2006 Proximal tephra hazards: recent eruption studies applied to volcanic risk in the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 155, 138 – 149.


  37. IPCC 2007 Climate Change 2007. The 1PCC Fourth Assessment Report. http://www.ipcc.ch/


  38. Jackson, D. D. & Kagan, Y, Y. 2006 The 2004 parkfield earthquake, the 1985 prediction and characteristic earthquakes: lessons for the future. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 96, 397–409.


  39. Jacquet, O. et al. 2006 DEVIN: a forecasting approach using stochastic methods applied to the Soufriere Hills volcano. Journal of Volcanology & Geothermal Research 153, 97 – 111.


  40. Jiang, J. & Perrie, W. 2007 The impacts of climate change on Autumn North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones. Journal of Climate 20, 1174 – 1187.


  41. Kerr, R. A. 2006 False alarm: Atlantic Conveyor Belt hasn’t slowed down after all. Science 314, 1064.


  42. Klotzbach, P. J. & Gray, W. M. Causes of the unusually destructive 2004 Atlantic Basin hurricane season. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 87, 1325 – 1333.


  43. Knaff, J. A. & Zehr, R. M. 2007: Re-examination of Tropical Cyclone wind–pressure relationships. Weather and Forecasting 22, 71 - 88.


  44. Kossin, J. P. et al. 2007 A globally consistent re-analysis of hurricane variability and trends. Geophysical Research Letters 34, doi:10.1029/2006GL028836.


  45. Landsea, C. W. 2007 Counting Atlantic tropical cyclones back to 1900. Eos 88 (18), 197, 202.


  46. Landsea, C. W. 2006 Can we detect trends in extreme tropical cyclones? Science 313, 452 – 454.


  47. Latif, M. et al. 2007 Tropical sea surface temperatures, vertical wind shear, and hurricane development. Geophysical Research Letters 34. Article number L01710, January 13th.


  48. Leckebusch, G. C. et al. 2006 Analysis of frequency and intensity of winter storm events in Europe on synoptic and regional scales from a multi-model perspective. Climate Research 31, 59-74.


  49. Leckebusch, G. C. et al. 2007 Property loss potentials for European mid-latitude storms in a changing climate. Geophysical Research Letters 34. Article number L05703 doi:10.1029/2006GL027663.


  50. Lehner, B. et al. 2006 Estimating the impact of global change on flood and drought risks in Europe: a continental, integrated analysis. Climatic Change 75, 273 – 299.


  51. Leon, L. A. et al. 2007 Earthquake-by-earthquake fold growth above the Puente Hills blind thrust fault, Los Angeles, California: implications for fold kinematics and seismic hazard. Journal of Geophysical Research 112. Article number B30503. March 29th.


  52. Lombardi, A. M. & Marzocchi, W. 2007 Evidence of clustering and non-stationarity in the time distribution of large, worldwide earthquakes. Journal of Geophysical Research 112, doi: 10.1029/2006JB004568


  53. Luthcke, S. B. et al. 2006 Recent Greenland ice mass loss by drainage system from satellite gravity observations. Science 314, 1286 – 1289.


  54. Mailier, P. J. et al. 2006 Serial clustering of extra-tropical cyclones. Monthly Weather Review 134, 2224 – 2240.


  55. Malamud, B. D. & Turcotte, D. L. 2006 The applicability of power-law frequency statistics to floods. Journal of Hydrology 322, 168 – 180.


  56. McGuire, W. J. 2006 Lateral collapse and tsunamigenic potential of marine volcanoes. Geological Society Special Publication 269, 121-140.


  57. Mitchell, J. F. B. et al. 2006 Extreme events due to human-induced climate change. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 364, 2117 – 2133.


  58. Nelson, A. R. et al. Great earthquakes of variable magnitude at the Cascadia Subduction Zone. Quaternary Research 65, 354 – 365.


  59. Nott, J. et al. 2007 Greater frequency variability of landfalling tropical cyclones at centennial compared to seasonal and decadal scales. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 255, 367 – 372.


  60. Nyberg, J. et al. 2007 Low Atlantic hurricane activity in the 1970s and 1980s compared to the past 270 years. Nature 447, 698 – 702.


  61. Papadopoulos, G. A. et al. 2007 Tsunami hazards in the eastern Mediterranean: strong earthquakes and tsunamis in the East Hellenic Arc and Trench system. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 7, 57 – 64.


  62. Park, S. K. et al. 2007 The 2004 Parkfield earthquake: test of the electromagnetic precursor hypothesis. Journal of Geophysical research 112, doi:10.1029/2005JB004196.


  63. Pareschi, M. T. et al. 2006 Lost tsunami. Geophysical Research Letters 33. Article number: L22608


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  65. Pielke, R. A. et al. 2007 Normalised hurricane damage in the United States 1900 – 2005. Natural Hazards Review (in press).


  66. Pinter, N. et al. 2006 Trends in flood stages: contrasting results from the Mississippi and Rhine river systems. Journal of Hydrology 331, 554 – 566.


  67. Pinto, J. G. et al. 2007 Changing European storm loss potentials under modified climate conditions according to ensemble simulations of the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 7, 165 – 175.


  68. Pirazzoli, P. A. et al. 2006 Recent evaluation of surge-related events and assessment of coastal flooding risk on the eastern coasts of the English Channel. Ocean Dynamics 56, 498 – 512.


  69. Powell, M. D. & Rheinhold, T. A. 2007 Tropical cyclone destructive potential by integrated kinetic energy. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 88, 513 – 526.


  70. Power, W. et al. 2007 Estimation of tsunami hazard in New Zealand due to South American earthquakes. Pure and Applied Geophysics 164, 547 – 564.


  71. Romeo, R. W. & Bisiccia, C. 2006 Risk-oriented seismic micro-zoning study of an urban settlement. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 26, 899 – 908.


  72. Rockel, B. & Woth, K. 2007 Extremes of near-surface wind speed over Europe and their future changes as estimated from an ensemble of RCM simulations. Climatic Change 81, 267 – 280.


  73. Roeloffs, E. A. 2006 Evidence for aseismic deformation rate changes prior to earthquakes. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences 34, 591 – 627.


  74. Seierstad, I. A. et al. 2007 How useful are teleconnection patterns for explaining variability in extra-tropical cyclone storminess? Tellus Series A – Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 59, 170 – 181.


  75. Shepherd, A. & Wingham, D. 2007 Recent sea-level contributions of the Arctic and Greenland ice sheets. Science 315, 1529 – 1532.


  76. Schlichting, R. B. et al. 2006 Mapped overland distance of palaeotsunami high-velocity inundation in back-barrier wetlands of the central Cascadia margin, USA. Journal of Geology 114, 577 – 592.


  77. Scicchitano, G. et al. 2007 Large boulder deposits by tsunami waves along the Ionian coast of south-eastern Sicily (Italy). Marine Geology 238, 75 – 91.


  78. Self, S. 2006 The effects and consequences of very large explosive volcanic eruptions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 364, 2073 – 2097.


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  83. Smith, S. R. et al. 2007 ENSO’s impact on regional US hurricane activity. Journal of Climate 20, 1404 – 1414.


  84. Sorensen, M. B. et al. 2007 Sensitivity of ground-motion simulations to earthquake source parameters: a case study for Istanbul, turkey. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 97, 881–900.


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  86. Stein, S. 2007 New Madrid GPS: Much ado about nothing? Eos 88, 59.


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