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Cover Page
Executive Summary
Introduction
Data Sources
Deaths Due to Natural Hazards
A Building Damage Index
20th Century Building Damage
Alternative Perspectives
on Damage
Spatial Variation in Damage
A More Refined View
Discussion
Conclusion
Further Reading
Acknowledgements
|
Issues in Risk Science
Natural Hazards Risk Assessment: An Australian Perspective - Russell
Blong |


Alternative Perspectives on Damage
As recognized earlier, building damage is just a fraction of the total
damage picture - albeit the most important one. Nevertheless, we need
to recognize that property other than buildings are often damaged.
Consideration of an insurance view provides further insights to natural
hazards-related damage in Australia.
The Insurance Disaster Response Organisation (IDRO) maintains a website
[http://www.idro.com.au]
which sets out insurance payments on natural disasters in Australia
since 1967. At the time of writing these data are in need of a substantial
overhaul, but they do provide some clues to insured damage. Table
5 lists the nine largest insured losses in the last 38 years, all
expressed in 2003 Australian dollars.
The most interesting feature of this list is the range of natural
hazards included: three hailstorms, two bushfires, an earthquake,
a flood, a tropical cyclone and a windstorm. This table also suggests
that it is hailstorms that have caused the most insured damage in
Australia. In fact, for all natural disaster losses for which insurance
payments are available, hailstorms contributed 34% of the total with
tropical cyclones in second place with a mere 18% of the total. As
the Sydney windstorm of January 1991 was a severe thunderstorm with
relatively little damage caused by hail, lightning or flash flooding,
we should recognize that 34% under-represents the thunderstorm proportion.
Table 5: The nine largest insured losses, 1967-2004
[www.idro.com.au].
|
Event |
Date |
Insured Loss (AUD$million) |
| Sydney hailstorm, NSW |
April, 1999 |
1700 |
| Newcastle earthquake, NSW |
December, 1989 |
1124 |
| Cyclone Tracy, Darwin, NT |
December, 1974 |
837 |
| Sydney hailstorm, NSW |
March, 1990 |
384 |
| Canberra fires, ACT |
January, 2003 |
350 |
| Brisbane floods, QLD |
January, 1974 |
328 |
| VIC and SA bushfires |
February, 1983 |
324 |
| Brisbane hailstorm, QLD |
January, 1985 |
299 |
| Sydney windstorm, NSW |
January, 1991 |
226 |
The differences between
the IDRO list and the Risk Frontiers’ Building Damage estimates
can be attributed to, inter alia:
- The shorter IDRO record
- The IDRO lower cutoff of AUD$1 million and AUD$10 million
(it varies), misses smaller loss events
- Flood losses (and landslide losses) are seldom insured in
Australia
- Insured hailstorm losses include motor vehicles (and, to
a lesser extent, crops)
A breakdown of the proportions contributed
by the various insurance classes to the losses in Table 5 is available
for only a few events, so that comparisons with the Risk Frontiers’
data are not simple. However, for example, residential building
and contents, motor vehicles, and commercial buildings and contents
each contributed between one-third and one-quarter of the insured
losses in the 14 April, 1999 Sydney hailstorm.
Table 6 lists the 20 events
that contributed the most to the House Equivalent damage in the
Risk Frontiers’ database for the period 1900-2003. The li
st includes six floods, five bushfires (really bushfire days),
four tropical cyclones, three thunderstorms and two earthquakes.
This mix reinforces the view that natural hazards risk in Australia
is not dominated by just one or two hazards.
Seven of the 20 events in the list occurred before the insurance
record began in 1967.
Although smaller events post-1998 have not been included in the
sum, the 20 events listed in Table 6 contributed just over 50%
of the total HE recorded in the 1,200 events in the Risk Frontiers’
database. As with the death database, a few events dominate the
total record.
Table 6: Events ranked by HE (1900-2003)
|
Event |
Date |
| Cyclone Tracy, Darwin, NT |
December 1974 |
| Ash Wednesday bushfires,
VIC & SA |
February 1983 |
| Sydney hailstorm, NSW |
April 1999 |
| Newcastle earthquake, NSW |
December 1989 |
| Katherine floods, NT |
January 1998 |
| Hobart bushfires, TAS |
February 1967 |
| Hunter R and other
NSW floods |
February, 1955 |
| Brisbane floods, QLD |
January 1974 |
| NE Victorian floods,
VIC |
Sept-Oct 1993 |
| Black Friday fires,
VIC & NSW |
January 1939 |
| Adelaide earthquake, SA |
February 1954 |
| Cyclone Althea, Townsville,
QLD |
December 1971 |
| Victorian bushfires,
VIC |
January 1944 |
| Cyclone Leonta, QLD |
March 1903 |
| Canberra bushfires, ACT |
January 2003 |
| Un-named cyclone, Capricorn
coast, QLD |
January 1918 |
| Sydney hailstorm, NSW |
March 1990 |
| Brisbane thunderstorm, QLD |
January 1985 |
| Floods, NSW & QLD |
April 1990 |
| Macleay
& Clarence R floods, NSW |
June
1950 |
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