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Cover Page

Executive Summary

1. Introduction: A land of contrasts

2. Earthquake recording, seismicity and seismotectonics

3. Historical earthquakes

4. Prediction or providence? – Haicheng 7.3 Ms and Tangshen 7.8 Ms

5. Seismic hazard

6. Building types and vulnerability to ground shaking

7. Financial implications and risk

8. Major new construction projects

9. Conclusions

10. Sources and further reading
Issues in Risk Science
Earthquakes and a brave new China - Dr Paul Burton and Steve Cole


10. Sources and further reading
Chen, Y., Liu, J., Chen, C., Chen, L. and Li, M. 1999. Analysis of Earthquake Hazards and Prediction of Seismic Risk, Seismological Press, Beijing (in Chinese).

Chen, Y., Tsoi, K., Chen F., Gao, Z., Zou, Q. and Chen, Z. 1988. The Great Tangshan Earthquake of 1976: An Anatomy of Disaster, Pergamon Press, Oxford.

Fu, Z. 2000. The large-scale distribution of great shallow intraplate earthquakes in mainland China and adjacent areas and seismic coupling along plate margins, Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 18, 41-46.

Gu, G. 1983a. Earthquake Catalogue of China (1831 B.C. -1969 A.D), Seismological Press, Beijing.

Gu, G. 1983b. Earthquake Catalogue of China (1970 B.C. -1979 A.D), Seismological Press, Beijing.

Lee, S.P. 1957. The map of seismicity of China, Acta Geophysica Sinica, 6, 127-158.

Molnar, P. 1989. The Geologic Evolution of the Tibetan Plateau, American Scientist, 77, 350-360.

Ma, X. 1987. An introduction to the lithospheric dynamics in China, introduction of dynamic map of China, Geological Press, Beijing (in Chinese).

Ran, H.L. 2004. Earthquake probabilities and magnitude distribution (M = 6.7) along the Haiyuan fault, northwestern China, Acta Seismological Sinica, 17, 6, 671-677.

RGCERP 1995. Atlas of Earthquake Prediction in China, Compiled by the Research Group of Chinese Earthquake Risk Prediction in Ten Years, Science Press, Beijing (in Chinese).

SSB 1997. What should we do when an earthquake comes?, State Seismological Bureau and State Seismological Bureau of Liaoning province, Seismological Press, Beijing, 2nd edition (in Chinese).

Wang, K., Chen, Q-F., Sun, S and Wang, A. 2006. Predicting the 1975 Haicheng Earthquake, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 96, 3, 757-795.

Weiqi, Z., Jiao, D., Zhang, P., Molnar, P., Burchfiel, B.C., Deng, Q., Wang, Y. and Song, F. 1987. Displacement along the Haiyuan fault associated with the great 1920 Haiyuan, China, earthquake, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 77, 1, 117-131.

Yin, Z. 1995. Earthquake Hazards and Prediction for their Losses, Seismological Press, Beijing (in Chinese).

Zhang, Z. and Wang, L. 1995. Geological disasters in Loess areas during the 1920 Haiyuan earthquake, China, GeoJournal, 36, 269-274.

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