
1. Introduction: A land of contrasts
China, the middle kingdom, has awakened with the vibrancy and power
of one of the country’s mythical dragons. No other nation, at the
start of the new millennium has seen such an enormous level of mass
construction, rapid urbanisation and general modernization, and
the sheer speed and scale of social, economic and demographic change
in the country have surpassed all expectations. Unquestionably China
is a nation in a hurry to catch up with the modern world.
With these changes, however, come some concerns. China is a land
of topographic contrasts hosting great mountain ranges, vast deserts
and major rivers. The Tibetan plateau is the largest massif on Earth
– the so called third pole – with an average height of 4,500 m above
sea level (Molnar, 1989). Its presence is the result of a great
convergence of land masses fifty million years ago, as India pushed
northwards into Eurasia. Today the results of this action dominate
the nature of the landscape across China, while the forces resisting
India’s northward push build stress and strain that result in devastating
earthquakes. It is this threat, and the increased exposure to it,
that must urgently be addressed.
Seismic hazard across China has been investigated using various
methods but much remains to be done. There is now increased awareness,
however, of the need to understand how vulnerable people and property
are to future earthquakes. In the light of China’s continuing boom,
further progress in the assessment of seismic risk is of paramount
importance.
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