Climate Extremes

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Journal Papers

Ground deformation monitoring of a potential landslide at La Palma, Canary Islands (pdf 3.6mb)
J.L. Moss, W.J. McGuire, D. Page, 1999
Journal of volcanology and geothermal research

Seasonal predictability of wintertime storminess over the north atlantic (pdf 559kb)
Budong Qian and Mark Saunders, 2003
Geophysical Research Letters
Winter storminess over large parts of the high latitude North Atlantic, including the North Sea and Scotland is linked significantly to the prior summer extent of northern hemisphere snow cover 1972/3-present.
Our finding suggests that the seasonal predictability of winter storminess
may be higher and extend to longer leads than thought previously.

Summer UK temperatures and its links to preceding eurasian snow cover, north atlantic SSTs and the NAO (pdf 3.58mb)
Budong Qian and Mark Saunders, 2003
Journal of Climate
A significant link is found between late winter Eurasian snow cover and
upcoming summer temperatures over the British Isles and adjacent areas.
Significant links are also observed between summer temperatures and the
preceding late winter NAO Index and a leading mode of North Atlantic sea
temperature variability.

Volcano Instability and Lateral Collapse (pdf 236) Bill McGuire, 2003

Seasonal Predictability of the Winter NAO from North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures (pdf 1.33mb) Mark Saunders and Budong Qian, 2002

A Drought Climatology for Europe (pdf 677kb) Ben Lloyd-Hughes and Mark Saunders, 2002

Seasonal Prediction of European Spring Precipitation from ENSO and Local Sea Surface Temperatures (pdf 338kb) Ben Lloyd-Hughes and Mark Saunders, 2001

North Atlantic Oscillation Impact on Tropical North Atlantic Winter Atmospheric Variability (pdf 35kb) Steven George and Mark Saunders, December 2000