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Technical Paper 1(1,82MB PDF)




Cover Page

Executive Summary



Introduction

The Author

Acknowledgements

Disclaimer

Application

Foreword to Second Edition

The Problems

The Problems (more)

The Consequences

Why is Scotland Different?

Flood Risk and Insurance Modelling

Future Outlook and Recommendations

Appendices
Technical Paper 1
Flood Risk & Insurance in England and Wales: Are there lessons to be learned from Scotland? - David Crichton


Executive Summary

Flood insurance in Britain is going to become harder to obtain in the future. An agreement by insurers to provide household flood insurance at a reasonable cost anywhere in Britain expired at the end of 2002, and already many insurers are not offering cover for new business. The stated reasons for this agreement being discontinued are the lack of adequate planning controls and a lack of adequate spending on flood defences. These reasons have caused some surprise in Scotland, where since Devolution in 1999, planning controls have been tightened up by most local planning authorities to limit any building in the floodplain, and spending on flood defences has risen dramatically.

The insurance industry as a whole has mainly been concentrating on lobbying central Government to spend more money on flood defences in England and Wales, a tactic that has only been partially successful so far. Perhaps this is because flood defence spending has to compete with many other, arguably more deserving, calls on the public purse.

Since 1995, the author has been concentrating on non-structural measures, such as planning controls and sustainable drainage. He hopes to show that this non-structural approach has been particularly successful in Scotland. Many experts around the world now see non-structural measures as being a more sustainable, efficient way ahead, tackling the problem rather than relieving the symptoms. For example, years of regular face to face meetings at a local level have given the author the opportunity to influence planning strategies for all the main population centres in Scotland. Current planning strategies for most of these communities now presume against allowing any new housing development where the flood risk exceeds the 200-year return period. In addition, differences in legislation in Scotland have resulted in preparations being made for a test case for insurers to recover up to £70m in claims payments from a local authority in Scotland. If successful, it could have important implications for the flood insurance risk north of the Border.

The author’s confidential discussions with the senior underwriting managers of many of the leading insurance companies indicate that there is a very low awareness in the British insurance industry of what has been achieved in Scotland and he hopes that this report will help to remedy that situation. While the solutions are working well in Scotland, it may already be too late for the South East of England, where some radical measures may be required in the future. Some of these measures are listed in the future outlook section at the end of this report.

 

Some Flood Facts for England and Wales

5 million people in England and Wales are at risk from flooding every year, principally during the flood season (September to April) – but flooding can happen at any time, as it did in August (2002) in areas of the North East and North West of England.

2 million homes and 185,000 businesses are at risk of flooding in England and Wales

Property, land and assets to the value of £214 billion.

10,000 properties were flooded in the severe floods of Autumn 2000 - but flood defences successfully protected 280,000 properties.

Scientists predict that climate change may lead to an increase in extreme and unpredictable weather – including floods.

Since 1999, some 20 people have died as a direct result of flooding. Thousands have suffered shock, trauma and devastating damage to their homes and possessions.

Research by the insurance industry has shown that half a metre of floodwater in a modern semi-detached house will result in an average cost of £15,000- £30,000 to repair the building and £9,000 to replace damaged belongings.

Source: Environment Agency Press Release, 23rd September, 2002.



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