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The Flood Mapping Problem
The original flood hazard maps from the EA and SEPA were called "indicative" floodplain maps (because they were not very accurate). These provided a general overview of areas that are within natural floodplains, and identified those properties which are potentially at risk from flooding from rivers or the sea. The maps were based upon historical flood records, survey records and computer models. Copies were provided to all local authorities in Britain .
In December 2000 the Environment Agency added indicative floodplain maps to its web site allowing anyone with access to the Internet to check out which areas of England and Wales are at potential risk of flooding from rivers or the sea. A feature called "What's in your backyard" means that users can enter the name of a town or a postcode to see what the flood risks are for their own properties. See http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk .
The Environment Agency service only applies to England and Wales , but there is a commercial web site that provides a free postcode search facility for the whole of Britain . It can be found at: www.home-envirosearch.com .
These indicative flood maps only give a rough indication of areas at risk of flooding. For example, they do not include the effects of flood defences, and because of this they may show areas to be at risk when they are not, and vice versa. In other words they may give a false sense of alarm or a false sense of security. Smaller insurance companies used them for underwriting, but the bigger insurers had their own, more accurate flood maps. Almost all insurers will have maps showing coastal flood hazard areas that take into account coastal flood defences. These maps also show which defences are likely to fail during a 50-year storm, and which areas would be inundated as a result.
Insurers and flood maps
Some insurers have invested substantially in more accurate flood mapping. Royal & Sun Alliance (RSA) have an intranet system called "Geographical Risk Analysis" (GRA) which enables underwriters to access flood risk information using full postcode. GRA links the underlying geology with overland geography including rivers, their height, river and sea defences, plus boreholes etc. This allows the user to accurately determine the property's exposure to flood risk. The system was highly commended in the Insurance Times "Risk management initiative of the year" for 2002.
RSA's intranet-based application grades properties on a traffic-light basis - green, amber or red, depending on their level of risk. They are currently adding a subsidence mapping tool, been based on the company's own geological engineering risk techniques, combined with digital terrain mapping and address verification information from Ordnance Survey and a Geographical Information System supplied by ESRI.
Norwich Union has commissioned an airborne survey of the country using synthetic aperture radar interferometry. This has been used to produce "Next Map" in conjunction with Intermap, a USA company. In return for their investment, the Norwich Union has a period of exclusive access to Next Map.
Next Map is a digital terrain model with a vertical resolution of 50 cm in the South of England and 1 m for the rest of Britain which compares well with the Ordnance Survey error margin of plus or minus 3 metres. Norwich Union (NU) subsequently has used the new digital elevation data to produce a flood map for the whole of Britain and they rolled this out to their branches in March 2004. At the time, Post Magazine said : "NU claims it is the largest and most accurate map of its type for the UK and will provide a better understanding of the flood risk for individual properties.
"The technology means NU can set premiums on a specific address rather than using a postcode band."
An NU spokesperson said: "This model will mean we don't penalise people who live in a high-risk area but are at low risk of flooding."
Norwich Union had a further roll out to selected intermediaries in July 2004. In addition, Norwich Union has reportedly decided to offer free flood cover for gardens, a courageous move in the light of the outcome of the Marcic case.
Norwich Union has agreed that the digital elevation data which they funded can be supplied to the Environment Agency and the Scottish Environment Protection Agency, both of whom have commissioned consulting engineers to convert these data into a new generation of flood maps, which started to come on stream in October 2004.
The internet insurer, "esure" has bought in additional imagery layer information to make its flood maps more accurate. In addition, it has a number of sources of information about flooding in high hazard areas.
Meanwhile, the Environment Agency is working with Intermap's UK distributor Getmapping, to assess selected areas. Getmapping already has complete aerial photographic coverage of Britain (through the "Millennium Map" project), and has signed a deal to become a reseller of Next Map. The combination of high-resolution aerial photographs and digital terrain model could be a powerful tool, not just for flood insurance but for many other types of insurance problems as well.
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Therefore if anyone is having difficulties obtaining flood insurance, it would pay them to shop around, trying a mixture of big and small insurers. The Environment Agency published "second generation" flood maps in October 2004, starting with river flood maps, based on the data commissioned by the Norwich Union, but extending this to include coastal flood and taking into account flood alleviation schemes. These maps may make insurance cheaper for some, but more expensive for others. The Scottish Environment Protection Agency is due to publish similar maps in September 2005.
It will still pay to "shop around" as some insurers will still have more accurate and detailed maps than the government and its agencies can afford.
The Environment Agency has called for up to £200m more to be spent each year on flood defences, and it is also in the process of preparing a map of flood risks across the country in 2050, taking account of climate change.
If their property appears in the indicative flood map, they may still get a quote from one of the dozen or so bigger insurers which have more accurate and detailed maps than the government and its agencies can afford.
It should be emphasised however that insurers would generally try to maintain cover for existing long term clients, and those who change insurers frequently are more likely to have problems.
One of the problems of publishing flood maps is that this could have an adverse effect on property values, and possible legal consequences. In England this has been solved by classifying them as a "Statutory Public Register" which confers immunity from litigation as well as exemption from the Data Protection Act. (This step is apparently not necessary in Scot's Law.) The technology exists already to not only publish such maps on the internet, but to link them into existing gauging stations to give real time indications of the flood risk for flood warning dissemination purposes. Householders concerned about heavy rainfall and rising river levels could then check the danger directly themselves by keying their postcode into the internet and seeing the latest assessment "on line".
Future Mapping
The Environment Agency has commissioned work on an "extreme flood outline" to produce flood maps for the 1,000 year return period. In addition, flood hazard areas in England and Wales have been surveyed by the Environment Agency using an airborne laser instrument called "LiDAR". This instrument has the potential to produce much more accurate digital elevation models, essential for more accurate flood mapping. While the system has only recently been used in Scotland for the Scottish Executive on an experimental pilot study basis, a commercial operator, "Info Terra", has carried out independent LiDAR surveys in most urban centres in Britain , including Central Scotland .
(For more details see the panel and the glossary, or contact info@infoterra-global.com
In March 2001, the Ordnance Survey launched a new three dimensional mapping product. Ordnance Survey say they
".have developed the airborne laser technology in alliance with the Environment Agency and software specialist InfoTerra. The LIDAR (light detection and ranging) technology is used to provide detailed 3D digital maps and offers a remarkably accurate assessment of flood risk as well as being beneficial for the planning of new developments and road schemes."
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Is flood mapping the answer?
Many insurers have spent large sums of money on improving their flood maps, but is this the whole story? Thanks to sewer overflows, and inadequate drainage infrastructure, it is clear that floods can occur almost anywhere. While mapping is adequate for commodity business like household insurance, insurers will need to be aware that avoiding such areas will not eliminate the flood risk.
For some years, the author has been encouraging Scottish local authorities to adopt a different approach when considering flood defence works. This is to use a zoning approach, to zone areas according to vulnerability, rather than hazard, and to concentrate on ensuring that locations such as hospitals, sheltered housing, social housing and evacuation routes are safe (more details appear later in this report). The EA are now looking into this concept with a view to improving the targeting of flood warnings, public education, and community involvement. An approach worth considering can be found in Sweden , where priorities vary depending on the "social tolerance" of flooding expressed in terms of impact. Thus inner city areas with a high level of people at risk and a high level of investment have the lowest tolerance.
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